Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.024792 0.026914 0.029133 0.031627 0.034354 0.037247 0.040550
2025-08-03 0.021096 0.024124 0.027470 0.031449 0.036059 0.041244 0.047530
2025-08-10 0.018974 0.022549 0.026668 0.031778 0.037965 0.045238 0.054470
2025-08-17 0.017046 0.020893 0.025473 0.031351 0.038727 0.047718 0.059571
2025-08-24 0.015472 0.019466 0.024357 0.030820 0.039182 0.049699 0.064026
2025-08-31 0.014290 0.018399 0.023560 0.030559 0.039866 0.051906 0.068801
2025-09-07 0.013300 0.017486 0.022864 0.030331 0.040511 0.054023 0.073508
2025-09-14 0.012476 0.016720 0.022287 0.030186 0.041208 0.056192 0.078357
2025-09-21 0.011676 0.015926 0.021608 0.029833 0.041560 0.057858 0.082546
2025-09-28 0.011115 0.015416 0.021273 0.029918 0.042497 0.060359 0.088044
2025-10-05 0.010524 0.014826 0.020783 0.029735 0.043015 0.062253 0.092723
2025-10-12 0.010086 0.014423 0.020530 0.029866 0.043976 0.064821 0.098540
2025-10-19 0.009667 0.014046 0.020320 0.030089 0.045152 0.067876 0.105476
2025-10-26 0.009151 0.013501 0.019836 0.029877 0.045658 0.069951 0.111039
2025-11-02 0.008817 0.013204 0.019701 0.030181 0.046971 0.073343 0.118942
2025-11-09 0.008331 0.012648 0.019138 0.029777 0.047120 0.074872 0.123840
2025-11-16 0.007862 0.012091 0.018540 0.029274 0.047068 0.076049 0.128190
2025-11-23 0.007488 0.011663 0.018119 0.029028 0.047410 0.077877 0.133759
2025-11-30 0.007149 0.011272 0.017733 0.028811 0.047779 0.079755 0.139519
2025-12-07 0.006850 0.010930 0.017409 0.028675 0.048266 0.081849 0.145785
2025-12-14 0.006532 0.010540 0.016984 0.028341 0.048385 0.083294 0.150938
2025-12-21 0.006316 0.010309 0.016808 0.028421 0.049228 0.086058 0.158725
2025-12-28 0.006066 0.010007 0.016498 0.028248 0.049604 0.087989 0.165040